The race for a House seat in Colorado between incumbent Republican Rep. Lauren Boebert and Democrat Adam Frisch has Boebert edging ahead by a razor-thin margin and votes are still being counted.
It is a surprise that Boebert’s race against Democrat challenger Adam Frisch has been incredibly close. The latest tabulation has Boebart with 162,040 votes or 52.2% of the vote, and Frisch with 160,918 votes or 49.8% of the votes. This puts Boebert currently at around 0.4% ahead.
The closeness of the race has some speculating about whether a recount or runoff will be necessary. A mandatory recount is triggered in Colorado if the margin of the vote is .5% or less.
The New York Times noted that a spokeswoman for the Colorado Secretary of State said that the regular process has to play itself out, before a recount can be considered.
Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold said:
“We need to be able to process the rest of the ballots, and then after that, we will do a bipartisan risk-limiting audit which confirms the results followed by a bipartisan canvas, and then, only then, do I certify the election and it’s determined whether we go into a recount.
“We are a couple of weeks out from that determination.”
Boebart’s Democrat challenger Frisch played her lead down, saying:
“Every vote matters in this incredibly close race and thousands of votes in Pueblo County and from military & overseas voters remain, and a considerable number of curable ballots remain as well. “Help us gather the resources to see this through!”
However, the Colorado congresswoman edged out in front on Thursday and extended her lead on Friday, with 99% of the votes counted.
Democrat polls show Frisch taking over, but a spokeswoman for the National Republican Congressional Committee told Colorado Politics that the poll doesn’t represent the reality they are seeing. “Democrats have attacked colorado’s oil and gas industry and destroyed the American economy,” NRCC spokeswoman Courtney Parella said in an email. “Democrats have zero chance of winning this district.”
In the lead, Boebert has now has broken her silence and spoken out to warn her critics that she will win re-election.
“There’s no doubt I was a target for the Democrats, but I am confident once all of the ballots are counted I will win and I will be there to help fire Nancy Pelosi as Speaker of the House,” Boebert said.
“I don’t know if there wasn’t enough enthusiasm for our top ticket candidates for governor and Senate or what happened there. But there was a lot of shifting of the votes there.
“Of course, I expect to win.” “I think Polis and Bennet definitely carried the ticket for the Democrat Party.”
Earlier this week the Colorado Sun reported that “Turnout in the Republican’s 3rd Congressional District is down from 2018, the last midterm election. Borebert herself blames the closer than expected numbers on voter turnout levels, and lack of enthusiasm for the GIP’s Colorado candidates for U.S. senate and governor, the outlet reported. “I don’t know if there wasn’t enough enthusiasm for our top ticket candidates for governor and Senate or what happened there,” Boebert told reporters in Washington, D.C. this week, according to the Wall Street Journal, “but there was a lot of shifting in the votes.”
The Sun reports that indeed the votes cast are fewer than in previous elections, with 100,000 fewer votes cast than in 2020 and about 5% less than in the last midterm election in 2018. However, the districts lines have been redrawn since. In 2020 the then 33 year old Boebert defeated opposing candidate Democratic Scott Tipton, a five term incumbent, by more than 26,5000 votes.
According to CNN:
“The boundaries of the 3rd Congressional District shifted after Colorado added a new district because the 2020 Census showed population growth, with the state’s independent redistricting commission creating a map that added an eighth seat in the northern suburbs of Denver.
“Encompassing the western and southern portions of the state that includes Grand Junction, the majority of residents living in Boebert’s district are White and many residents have traditionally registered as Republican.
“As of September 1, nearly 31% of registered voters were Republican, nearly 24% were Democrat and 44% were unaffiliated with a political party, according to the state’s independent redistricting commissions.
“Boebert won the county in the 2020 election with 51.4% of the vote, defeating Democrat Diane Mitsch Bush who had 45.2%.”
States are still counting votes now days after the votes were cast. CNN reported that new batches of votes were reported Friday in Arizona and Nevada.
Arizona Assistant Secretary of State Allie bones has admitted to CNN that the majority of votes left to be tabulated in Arizona are in Maricopa and Pima counties, which are both historically Democratic strongholds.
Nevada voting registrar Joe Gloria of Clark County said Friday that there were more than 50,000 ballots still to count.
California is still counting.
BREAKING: 🔴 Lauren Boebert (R) leads Adam Frisch by 1,229 votes in CO-03
Lauren Boebert (R): 160,432 (+1,229)
— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) November 10, 2022